Key Takeaways: Figure 1. Africa File, January 22, 2026 Source: Liam Karr. Sudan The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) conducted an attack on Chadian forces in Chad, raising tensions with a key partner amid disruptions to
Recognizing Somaliland: Israel’s Return to the Red Sea
Israel’s agreement with Somaliland will boost its security in the Red Sea Basin and may encourage the United States and other countries to follow suit, though political obstacles and complications abound. The surprise announcement on
Sudan Stands Between War and an Imposed Peace
Three possible scenarios have emerged for the war-torn country in 2026, but current realities suggest that a ceasefire and formal transition to civilian governance is the least likely. The conflict in Sudan continues unabated, with
Egypt’s Tightrope Walk Between Saudi Arabia and the UAE
Cairo will not be able to stand completely above Gulf rivalries, but tactful U.S. diplomacy on economics and regional security issues can help give Egyptian leaders enough space to continue their balancing strategy. As tensions
Madagascar’s ‘coup’ prompts contrasting responses
Whether or not Andry Rajoelina’s toppling was a coup, the key is how long it takes to restore democratic civilian government. Coups have once again become rather endemic in Africa, though they are not always
Somalia Cancels UAE Agreements; Sudan-Pakistan Arms Deal: Africa File, January 15, 2026
Key Takeaways: Somalia. Somalia canceled all bilateral agreements with the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which legally annuls UAE access to key Red Sea ports and military bases, although local governments have rejected the decision. The
Q&A: Southern Yemen: How did we get here, and what happens next?
In light of the crisis that unfolded in southern Yemen at the end of 2025, ACLED’s Middle East Regional Specialist explains what happened and how players in the region have reacted. Long-simmering tensions within Yemen’s
Condamnation de la reconnaissance du Somaliland par Israël
Le Conseil des ministres des affaires étrangères des États membres de l’Organisation de la coopération islamique (OCI), réuni à sa 22ème session extraordinaire le samedi 10 janvier 2026 au Secrétariat général de l’Organisation de la
Kachallas and Kinship: Understanding Jihadi Expansion and Diffusion in Nigeria
CTC-SENTINEL-012026_Barnett-MusaDownload
Somalia Cancels UAE Agreements; Sudan-Pakistan Arms Deal: Africa File, January 15, 2026
Key Takeaways: Somalia. Somalia canceled all bilateral agreements with the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which legally annuls UAE access to key Red Sea ports and military bases, although local governments have rejected the decision. The