Key Takeaways: By necessity, special operations forces are secretive and operate in small, agile units. Their missions are high risk and, if their presence is known, they’ve probably done something wrong. But there is a
Ethiopia War Security Review
Key Takeaways: Central Axis. Tigrayan rebel forces claim to have launched a counteroffensive that allegedly recaptured some key gateway towns near the Kola Tembien mountains in central Tigray.Other Rebel Activity. Amhara rebels have continued to
Algeria’s New Bid for Regional Influence
A sharp break with the UAE underscores Algeria’s ambitions to reassert its presence on the international stage after decades on the periphery, potentially affecting diplomacy over Western Sahara, among other issues. Years of simmering tensions
Eritrea urges UN deterrence measures against Ethiopia
In the ongoing struggle for control of Ethiopia’s northern Tigray region, both Ethiopia and Eritrea have appealed to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) for assistance. On Friday, citing Article 51 of the UN Charter,
Joseph Kabila returns, joining the AFC/M23 rebel coalition. What does it mean for the DRC conflict?
Joseph Kabila’s decision to lead a new political-military movement, the Front for the Refoundation of the Nation (FRN), puts the former president of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) in more confrontation with President Felix
Le conflit de pouvoir dans le Sud-Ouest somalien à son paroxysme
Le conflit de pouvoir dans l’État du Sud-Ouest de la Somalie, qui oppose les autorités régionales au gouvernement fédéral, a franchi une nouvelle étape. Les conflits s’intensifient en Somalie entre les autorités régionales et le
Can Turkey and Pakistan defend Saudi Arabia from the Houthis?
Turkey and Pakistan’s promise of rapid military support for Saudi Arabia faces a more urgent test after weekend attacks on Riyadh’s international airport killed 12 people and forced its closure. Turning that commitment into effective
How one Egyptian military-owned company came to dominate Sudan’s conflict trade
Last month, the European Union (EU) and the United Kingdom published a new list of sanctioned entities involved in the financing of rival factions in Sudan’s civil war. On 19 July, the UK sanctioned a
How RSF defections are reshaping Sudan’s fragmented battlefield
On 8 October, Mohamed Azraq al-Fangari defected from the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and joined the Sudanese Armed Forces, the national army. The special forces commander was accompanied by some 300 fighters from Kordofan, a
Ethiopia Reaches Eritrean Border; M23 Rebrands with Kabila: Africa File, October 15, 2026
Key Takeaways: Ethiopia. Ethiopian federal forces have advanced toward the Ethiopia-Eritrea border, which will likely result in a low-intensity border war in the short term. Ethiopia has set conditions to legally justify a regime-change war,