In light of the crisis that unfolded in southern Yemen at the end of 2025, ACLED’s Middle East Regional Specialist explains what happened and how players in the region have reacted. Long-simmering tensions within Yemen’s
Kachallas and Kinship: Understanding Jihadi Expansion and Diffusion in Nigeria
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Somalia Cancels UAE Agreements; Sudan-Pakistan Arms Deal: Africa File, January 15, 2026
Key Takeaways: Somalia. Somalia canceled all bilateral agreements with the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which legally annuls UAE access to key Red Sea ports and military bases, although local governments have rejected the decision. The
Sudan Stands Between War and an Imposed Peace
Three possible scenarios have emerged for the war-torn country in 2026, but current realities suggest that a ceasefire and formal transition to civilian governance are the least likely. The conflict in Sudan continues unabated, with
Sudan’s War Has a Center of Gravity: The Muslim Brotherhood Behind al-Burhan’s Regime
Since the outbreak of full-scale war in April 2023, Muslim Brotherhood loyalists have not merely supported the Sudanese army — they have embedded themselves within its operational, intelligence, and political core. In effect, the war
How Sudan’s shifting battlefield will test Egypt’s ‘red lines’
After El-Fasher’s fall, Egypt faces the choice of intervening in a war against UAE proxies, or standing by as its ‘red lines’ in Sudan fade into irrelevance For nearly a thousand days, Egypt’s posture toward
Pakistan’s Reportedly Planned Arms Deal With Sudan Presages Problems For The UAE In Africa
Pakistan is functioning as the force multiplier in the Saudi-Turkish-Egyptian proxy campaign against the UAE in Africa that it’s finally participating in after sitting on the sidelines for so long. Reuters recently reported that “Pakistan
Ethiopie : Vives tensions avec l’Erythrée après la saisie de munitions destinées à des rebelles
L’Erythrée a accusé jeudi l’Ethiopie de chercher des « prétextes » afin de justifier une «guerre», au lendemain de l’annonce par la police éthiopienne de la saisie de plus de 50 000 munitions qui auraient,
Tchad : Sept soldats tchadiens tués lors d’un affrontement à la frontière avec le Soudan
Sept soldats tchadiens ont été tués jeudi dans l’est du Tchad, près de la frontière avec le Soudan, dans une altercation avec les paramilitaires soudanais, a indiqué vendredi une source gouvernementale. Au Soudan voisin, un
Niger revokes licences of tanker drivers who refuse to go to Mali amid jihadist blockade
Niger has revoked the licences of dozens of transport operators and drivers for refusing to deliver fuel to neighbouring Mali where they face possible attacks by jihadists. An al-Qaeda affiliate imposed a fuel blockade on