Key Takeaways: Figure 1. Africa File, January 22, 2026 Source: Liam Karr. Sudan The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) conducted an attack on Chadian forces in Chad, raising tensions with a key partner amid disruptions to

Three possible scenarios have emerged for the war-torn country in 2026, but current realities suggest that a ceasefire and formal transition to civilian governance is the least likely. The conflict in Sudan continues unabated, with

In light of the crisis that unfolded in southern Yemen at the end of 2025, ACLED’s Middle East Regional Specialist explains what happened and how players in the region have reacted. Long-simmering tensions within Yemen’s

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Key Takeaways: Somalia. Somalia canceled all bilateral agreements with the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which legally annuls UAE access to key Red Sea ports and military bases, although local governments have rejected the decision. The

Since the outbreak of full-scale war in April 2023, Muslim Brotherhood loyalists have not merely supported the Sudanese army — they have embedded themselves within its operational, intelligence, and political core. In effect, the war

After El-Fasher’s fall, Egypt faces the choice of intervening in a war against UAE proxies, or standing by as its ‘red lines’ in Sudan fade into irrelevance For nearly a thousand days, Egypt’s posture toward

Pakistan is functioning as the force multiplier in the Saudi-Turkish-Egyptian proxy campaign against the UAE in Africa that it’s finally participating in after sitting on the sidelines for so long. Reuters recently reported that “Pakistan

L’Erythrée a accusé jeudi l’Ethiopie de chercher des « prétextes » afin de justifier une «guerre», au lendemain de l’annonce par la police éthiopienne de la saisie de plus de 50 000 munitions qui auraient,