Executive Summary Militia infighting has plagued Libya’s sense of security. Since early 2025, the nominally temporary Prime Minister of the Government of National Unity (GNU), Abdel Hamid Dbeibah, has been attempting to consolidate his power.
Al-Shabaab’s 2025 Offensive and the Unraveling of Somalia’s Federal Counterinsurgency
Al-Shabaab’s July 2025 recapture of Sabiid and Anole underscores the group’s renewed offensive toward Mogadishu, reversing its key territorial losses from The Somali government’s 2022 counteroffensive. Al-Shabaab now controls a strategic triangle across Moqokori, Tardo,
Geopolitical Competition Escalates in an Unstable Libya
Armed clashes among forces of the U.N.-backed government in Tripoli benefit the Tobruk-based eastern administration dominated by Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar and his Libyan National Army. Russia and Türkiye are taking advantage of a divided
War Without End: How Drone Warfare and Failed Diplomacy Are Fragmenting Sudan
Tensions between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continue to rise amid the over two-year civil war as the RSF’s targeting of the Sudanese capital of Khartoum and its main
Terrorists storm Kaduna hospital, kill one, kidnap 12 others
Among the patients abducted were a nine-month-old pregnant woman, a nursing mother and her baby. Terrorists have attacked Kujama, the headquarters of Chikun Local Government Area of Kaduna State, killing at least one and kidnapping
Trump’s Next Big Deal Awaits in Africa
President Donald Trump’s reshaping of U.S. diplomacy has touched only the tip of the iceberg in Africa but the vast continent, home to more than 1.5 billion people and large shares of critical resources, has
What Nigeria, others must do following successful strikes against Boko Haram leaders
Over the past three months, security forces from the Lake Chad Basin countries – Nigeria, Niger, Chad, and Cameroon – have announced the arrest or killing of key figures in Boko Haram factions. Although these
AU suspension of Madagascar raises more questions than answers
AU suspension of Madagascar raises more questions than answersThe AU’s zero tolerance of coups should be matched by a similar attitude towards the poor governance that provokes youth protests. All eyes are on the new
Time to double down after security strikes against Boko Haram leaders
Time to double down after security strikes against Boko Haram leaders Terror groups have rebounded after past leadership losses, so Lake Chad Basin security forces cannot afford complacency. Over the past three months, security forces
Can Ethiopia, Egypt, and Sudan Trade Peace for Prosperity?
Peace between Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan hinges on their ability to agree on Red Sea trade routes, set rules for shipping, and even divide up parts of the coast. Since the 18th century, global and